The Kambi books feature this generous +725 number on Buescher to finish inside the top three.
The Bet: Austin Cindric to Win Group 2 +210 | Bet to: +210 Chris Buescher Top-3 Finish +725 My model has Cindric winning this group 33.5% of the time compared to 27.0% implied odds. That leaves us with Ryan Blaney, who was seventh in five-lap average, but qualified a lowly 19th. Hamlin and Truex will start 14th and 15th, respectively. Meanwhile, the two Toyotas in this group, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr., have not cracked the top 10 in average green flag speed, average running position or any practice metrics. Last year at Road America, Cindric ran near the front, and even took the lead before breaking an axle on lap 35.Ĭindric was also fourth in practice, and third in five-lap average, and will start fifth. He backed that up with the ninth-fastest car at Sonoma. Of those, Austin Cindric in Group 2 presents nice value.įor starters, the same group is available at DraftKings, where Cindric is a +130 favorite.įurther, the road course races this year, plus Road America last year, all bode well for Cindric’s performance.Ĭindric was very fast at COTA earlier this year, clocking the fourth-best average green flag speed. The Bet: Ross Chastain to Win +1000 ( FanDuel) | Bet to: +900 Austin Cindric +210 to Win Group 2įanDuel has three group bets available for betting. My model has Chastain winning 12.1% of the time, compared to 9.1% implied odds. However, he should have faster race speed, and makes a nice value play off the favorites. He lengthened from +850 to +1000 odds after qualifying simply because of his 12th-place starting position. Instead, he had the fastest overall average speed in practice. While he didn’t make a five-lap run, he’s not known for making long runs in practice. He also posted the third-fastest single lap average in practice.
*Odds as of Sunday morning Ross Chastain +1000 to WinĬhastain has been the second-fastest car in average green flag speed ranking at road courses this year, behind only teammate Daniel Suarez.Ĭhastain’s maiden Cup Series win came at the first road course race this year at Circuit of the Americas (COTA). DOWNLOAD NOW NASCAR at Road America Picks
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